10
Farago, “Editorial: The Truth About Rare Earths and Hybrids.”
12
Steve Gorman, “As Hybrid Cars Gobble Rare Metals, Shortage Looms,” Reuters, September 2, 2009,
http://www.reuters.com/article/GCA-BusinessofGreen/idUSTRE57U02B20090902
; Keith Bradsher, “China Tightens Grip on Rare Minerals,”
New York Times
, September 1, 2009,
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/09/01/business/global/01minerals.html?_r=1&sq=neodymium&st=Search&scp=1&pagewanted=all
.
13
Gorman, “As Hybrid Cars Gobble Rare Metals.”
14
David Trueman, interview with author by phone, August 31, 2009.
16
Ibid. See slide entitled “World Share of High-Technology Manufacturing by Region/Country: 1985â2005.”
18
Jack Lifton, interview with author, August 28, 2009; David Trueman, interview with author, August 30, 2009.
20
“Molycorp Minerals: Global Outlook.”
Chapter 14
4
Energy Information Administration, “World Energy IntensityâTotal Primary Energy Consumption Per Dollar of Gross Domestic Product Using Purchasing Power Parities, 1980â2006,”
http://www.eia.doe.gov/pub/international/iealf/tablee1p.xls
. Note that energy intensity fell faster in about seventeen countries not listed here, including Chad, Guam, Laos, and Afghanistan.
8
It's worth noting that more than forty countries saw bigger per-capita declines during that time period, including Afghanistan, North Korea, and nearly two dozen African countries. That data is omitted here for the sake of brevity. The five countries with the biggest per-capita declines in energy use include, in order, Liberia, Guam, Afghanistan, Chad, and Somalia. All saw declines of more than 50 percent.
17
Energy Information Administration, “Petroleum Navigator.”
19
In July 2009, sales of large SUVs had fallen by 45 percent compared to July 2008. Pickup truck sales fell by 20 percent. During the same time period, sales of small and medium-sized cars were also down, but their declines were much smaller, 5 percent and 9 percent, respectively. There were only two vehicles to show positive sales growth in July 2009, and they were both midsized cars: the Ford Fusion and the Volkswagen Jetta, which saw their sales increase by 4.3 percent and 5.6 percent, respectively. Data from Wall Street Journal online, “Market Data Center: Auto Sales. Overview Charts,”
http://online.wsj.com/mdc//files/22/38/63/f223863/public/page/2_3022-autosales.html
, accessed August 7, 2009.
23
David Heacock, Dominion Resources, interview with author via phone, May 26, 2009.
27
William Stanley Jevons,
The Coal Question: An Inquiry Concerning the Progress of the Nation, and the Probable Exhaustion of Our Coal Mines
(London: Macmillan, 1866).
28
John Polimeni, interview with author by e-mail, October 20, 2008.
29
For example, see Lorna A. Greening, David L. Greene, and Carmen Difiglio, “Energy Efficiency and Consumptionâthe Rebound EffectâA Survey,”
Energy Policy
(June 2000): 389â401. See also Kenneth A. Small and Kurt Van Dender, “Fuel Efficiency and Motor Vehicle Travel: The Declining Rebound Effect,”
The Energy Journal
, January 1, 2007.
31
William Tucker,
Terrestrial Energy: How Nuclear Power Will Lead the Green Revolution and End America's Energy Odyssey
(Savage, MD: Bartleby Press, 2008), 133.
Chapter 15
1
My interviews with climate scientists include talks with Roger Pielke Sr. and Roger Pielke Jr. Both are concerned about the issue of carbon dioxide emissions, but both agree that carbon dioxide may not be the most important issue when talking about potential climate change. The Pielke Sr. interview was published May 16, 2007. See Robert Bryce, “Energy Tribune Speaks with Roger Pielke, Sr.,”
http://www.energytribune.com/articles.cfm?aid=487&idli=3
. The Pielke Jr. interview was published March 16, 2009. See Robert Bryce, “An Interview with Roger Pielke, Jr., Center for Science and Technology Policy Research,”
http://www.energytribune.com/articles.cfm?aid=1441
.
3
Vaclav Smil,
Global Catastrophes and Trends: The Next Fifty Years
(Cambridge: MIT Press, 2008), 180.
9
International Energy Agency,
World Energy Outlook 2008
, Table 16.2, “Energy-Related CO
2
Emissions by Region in the Reference Scenario.”
10
BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2009.
16
William Tucker,
Terrestrial Energy: How Nuclear Power Will Lead the Green Revolution and End America's Energy Odyssey
(Savage, MD: Bartleby Press, 2008), 11.