Mistborn: The Hero of Ages (26 page)

"What percentage of the soldiers is that?" Vin asked.

Noorden paused, then waved over a scribe and did some calculations. "About thirteen and a half percent, my lady," he f inally said, ad j usting his spectacles. Vin frowned. "Did you include the men who died in your calculations?"

"Actually, no," Noorden said.

"And which total did you use?" Vin asked. "The total number of men in the army, or the total number who hadn't been in the mists before?" "The first."

"Do you have a count for the second number?" Vin asked.

"Yes, my lady," Noorden said. "The emperor wanted an accurate count of which soldiers would be affected."

"Use that number instead," Vin said, glancing at Elend. He seemed interested.

"What is this about, Vin? " he asked as Noorden and his men worked.

"I'm . . . not sure," Vin said.

"Numbers are important for generalizations," Elend said. "But I don't see how . . ." He trailed off as Noorden looked up from his calculations, then cocked his head, . 56 201

saying something sof tly to himself.

"What?" Vin asked.

"I'm sorry, my lady," Noorden said. "I was just a bit surprised. The calculation came out to be exact precisely sixteen percent of the soldiers fell sick. To the man." "A coincidence, Noorden," Elend said.

"It isn't that remarkable for calculations to come out exact."

Ash blew across the deck. "No," Noorden said, "no, you are right, Your Excellency. A simple coincidence." "Check

your ledgers," Vin said. "Find percentages based on other groups of people who have caught this disease."

"Vin," Elend said, "I'm no statistician, but I have worked with numbers in my research. Sometimes, natural phenomena produce seemingly odd results, but the chaos of statistics actually results in normalization. It might appear strange that our numbers broke down to an exact percentage, but that's just the way that statistics work." "Sixteen," Noorden said. He looked up. "Another exact percentage." Elend frowned, stepping over to the ledger.

"This third one here isn't exact," Noorden said, "but that's only because the base number isn't a multiple of twenty-five . A f raction of a person can't really become sick, after all. Yet, the sickness in this population here is within a single person of being exactly sixteen percent." Elend knelt down, heedless of the ash that had dusted the deck since it had last been swept. Vin looked over his shoulder, scanning the numbers. "It doesn't matter how old the average member of the population is," Noorden said, scribbling. "Nor does it matter where they live. Each one shows the
exact
same percentage of people falling sick."

"How could we have not noticed this before ? " Elend asked.

"Well, we did, after a fashion," Noorden said. "We knew that
about
four in twenty-five caught the sickness. However, I hadn't realized how exact the numbers were. This is indeed odd, Your Excellency. I know of no other disease that works this way. Look, here's an entry where a hundred scouts were sent into the mists, and precisely sixteen of them fell sick!" Elend looked troubled.

"What?" Vin asked.

"This is wrong, Vin," Elend sai d. " Very wrong."

"It's like the chaos of normal random statistics has broken down," Noorden said. "A population should never react
this
precisely there should be a curve of probability, with smaller populations reflecting the expected percentages least accurately."

"At the very least," Elend said, "the sickness should af f ect the elderly in different ratios from the healthy."

"In a way, it does," Noorden said as one of his assistants handed him a paper with further calculations.

"The
deaths
respond that way, as we would expect. But, the total number who fall sick is alw ays sixteen percent ! We've been paying so much attention to how many died, we didn't notice how unnatural the percentages of those stricken were."

Elend stood. "Check on this, Noorden," he said, gesturing toward the ledger. "Do interviews, make certain the data hasn't been changed by Ruin, and f ind out if this trend holds. We can't jump to conclusions with only four or five examples. It could all just be a large coincidence."

"Yes, Your Excellency, " Noorden said, looking a bit shaken. "But . . . what if it's not a coincidence?

What does it mean?"

"I don't know," Elend said.

It means consequence, Vin thought.
It means that there are laws, even i f we don't understand them.
Sixteen. Why sixteen percent?

. 57 201

The beads of metal found at the Well beads that made men into Mistborn were the reason why A
llomancers used to be more powerful. Those f irst Mistborn were as Elend V enture became
possessing a primal power, which was then passed down through the lines of the nobilit y, weakening
a bit with each generation. The Lord Ruler was one of these ancient Allomancers, his power pure and
unadulterated by time and breeding. That is part of why he was so mighty compared to other
Mistborn though, admittedl y, his ability to mix Feruchemy and A llomancy was what produced many
of his most spectacular abilities. Still, it is interesting to me that one of his "divine" powers his
essential A llomantic strength was something every one of the original nine A llomancers possessed.
22

SAZED SAT IN ONE OF THE NICER BUILDINGS
at the Pits of Hathsin a former guardhouse holding a mug of hot tea. The Terris elders sat in chairs before him, a small stove providing warmth. On the next day, S azed would have to leave to catch up with Goradel and Breeze, who would be well on their way to Urteau by now.

The sunlight was dimming. The mists had already come, and they hung j ust outside the glass window

. Sazed could j ust barely make out depressions in the dark ground outside cracks, in the earth. There were dozens of the cracks; the Terris people had built fences to mark them. Only a f ew years ago, before Kelsier had destroyed the atium crystals, men had been forced to crawl down into those cracks, seeking small geodes which had beads of atium at their centers. Each slave who hadn't been able to f ind at least one geode a week had been executed. There were likely still hundreds, perhaps thousands, of corpses pinned beneath the ground, lost in deep caverns, dead without anyone knowing or caring. What a terrible place this was, Sazed thought, turning away from the window as a young Terriswoman closed the shutters. Before him on the table were several ledgers which showed the resources, expenditures, and needs of the Terris people .

"I believe I suggested keeping these figures in metal," Sazed said.

"Yes, Master Keeper," said one of the elderly stewards. "We copy the important f igures into a sheet of metal each evening, then check them weekly against the ledgers to make certain nothing has changed."

"That is well," S azed said, picking through one of the ledgers, sitting in his lap. "And sanitation?

Have you addressed those issues since my last visit? " "Yes, Master Keeper," said another man. "We have prepared many more latrines, as you commanded though we do not need them."

"There may be refugees," Sazed said. "I wish f or you to be able to care for a larger population, should it become necessary. But, ple ase. These are only suggestions, not commands. I claim no authority over you."

The group of stewards shared glances. Sazed had been busy during his time with them, which had kept him from dwelling on his melancholy thoughts. He'd made sure they had enough supplies, that they kept a good communication with Penrod in Luthadel, and that they had a system in pl ace for settling disputes among themselves .

"Master Keeper," one of the elders f inally said. "How long will you be staying?"

"I must leave in the morning, I fear," S azed said. "I came simply to check on your needs. This is a difficult time to live, and you could be easily forgotten by those in Luthadel, I think."

"We are well, Master Keeper," said one of the others. He was the youngest of the elders, and he was only a few years younger than Sazed. Most of the men here were far older and far wiser than he. That they should look to him seemed wrong.

"Will you not reconsider your place with us, Master Keeper?" asked another. "We want not for food or for land. Yet, what we do lack is a leader." "The Terris people were oppressed long enough, I think," Sazed said. "You have no need for another tyrant king."

"Not a tyrant," one said. "One of our own."

"The Lord Ruler was one of our own," Sazed said quietly,

The group of men looked down. That the Lord Ruler had proven to be Terris was a shame to all of their people.

"We need someone to guide us," one of the men said. "Even during the days of the Lord Ruler, he was not our leader. We looked to the Keeper Synod." The Keeper Synod the clandestine leaders of Sazed's sect. They had led the Terris people for centuries, secretly working to make certain that Feruchemy continued, despite the Lord Ruler's attempts to breed the power out of the people.

"Master Keeper," said Master Vedlew, senior of the elders.

"Yes, Master Vedlew?"

"You do not wear your copperminds."

Sazed looked down. He hadn't realized it was noticeable that, beneath his robes, he wasn't wearing the metal bracers. " They are in my p ack." "It seems odd, to me," Vedlew said, "that you should work so hard during the Lord Ruler's time, always wearing your metalminds in secret, despite the danger. Yet, now that you are free to do as you wish, you carry them in your pack." Sazed shook his head. "I cannot be the man you wish me to be. Not right now ."

"You are a Keeper."

"I was the lowest of them," S azed said. "A rebel and a rej ect. They cast me from their presence. The last time I lef t Tathingdwen, I did so in disgrace. The common people cursed me in the quiet of their homes."

"Now they bless you, Master S azed," said one of the men.

"I do not deserve those blessings."

"Deserve them or not, you are all we have lef t."

"Then we are a sorrier people than we may appear."

The room fell silent.

"There was another reason why I came here, Master Vedlew, " S azed said, looking up. "Tell me, have any of your people died recently in . . . odd circumstances?" "Of what do you speak? " the aged Terrisman asked.

"Mist deaths," Sazed said. "Men who are killed by simply going out into the mists during the day."

"That is a tale of the skaa," one of the other men scoffed. "The mists are not dangerous ."

"Indeed," S azed said carefully. "Do you send your people out to work in them during the daylight hours, when the mists have not yet retreated for the day?" "Of course we do," said the younger Terrisman. "Why, it would be foolish to let those hours of work pass ." Sazed found it difficult not to let his curiosity work on that fact. Terrismen weren't killed by the daymists.

What was the connection?

He tried to summon the mental energy to think on the issue, but he felt traitorously apathetic. He just wanted to hide somewhere where nobody would expect anything of him. Where he wouldn't have to solve the problems of the world, or even deal with his own religious crisis. He almost did just that. And yet, a little part of him a spark from before refused to simply give up. He would at least continue his research, and would do what Elend and Vin asked of him. It w asn't
all
he could do, and it wouldn't satisfy the Terrismen who sat here, looking at him with needful expressions. But, for the moment, it was all Sazed could offer. To stay at the Pits would be to surrender, he knew. He needed to keep moving, keep working. "I'm sorry," he said to the men, setting aside the ledger.

"But this is how it must be."

. 58 201

During the early days of Kelsier's original plan, I remember how much he conf used us all with his m
ysterious " Eleventh Metal." He claimed that there were legends of a mystical metal that would let one
slay the Lord Ruler and that Kelsier himself had located that metal through intense research.
Nobody really knew what Kelsier did in the years between his escape f rom the Pits of Hathsin and his
return to Luthadel. When pressed, he simply said that he had been in "the West." Somehow in his
wanderings he discovered stories that no Keeper had ever heard. Most of the crew didn 't know what
to make of the legends he spoke of. This might have been the first seed that made even his oldest
friends begin to question his leadership.

23

IN THE EASTERN LANDS,
ne ar the wastelands of grit and sand, a young boy fell to the ground inside a skaa shack. It was many ye ars before the Collapse, and the Lord Ruler still lived. Not that the boy knew of such things . He was a dirty, ragged thing like most other skaa children in the Final Empire. Too young to be put to work in the mines, he spent his days ducking away from his mother's care and running about with the packs of children who foraged in the dry, dusty streets. Spook hadn't been that boy for some ten years. In a way, he was aware that he was delusional that the fever of his wounds was causing him to come in and out of consciousness, dreams of the past filling his mind. He let them run. Staying focused required too much energy.

And so, he remembered what it felt like as he hit the ground. A large man all men were large compared with Spook stood over him, skin dirtied with the dust and grime of a miner. The man spat on the dirty floor beside Spook, then turned to the other skaa in the room. There were many. One was crying, the tears leaving lines of cleanliness on her cheeks, washing away the dust.

"All right," the large man said. "We have him. Now what? " The people glanced at each other. One quietly closed the shack's door, shutting out the red sunlight.

"There's only one thing to be done," another man said. "We turn him in." Spook looked up. He met the eyes of the crying woman. She looked away. "Wasing the where of what?" Spook demanded.

The large man spat again, setting a boot against Spook's neck, pushing him back down against the rough wood. "You shouldn't have let him run around with those street gangs, Margel . Damn boy is barely coherent now."